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speeches, fund-raisers, they're all over. now comes down to u.s. voters. more than 120 million are expected to show up at the polls. >> and european investors are holding off on big moves. equities just edging higher led by technology stocks. >> and adecco sees hiring picking up in america. >>> we're finally here, election day in the united states. before that, we have the latest pmis out of the eurozone. economy declined steepening going into the fourth quarter. the final services pmi lower than the flash. it was 46.2 was the flash. lowest since july 2009. that means the composite final pmi 45.7. the flash 45.8. french services pmi weakened, also. 46.2. so both those major parts of the eurozone economy -- >> and remember, this is a leading indicator. if you see europe doing any better next year, you have to start seeing at least this indicator bottoming. >> dollar just dipped down to its lowest point of the session on the back of that. and of course we've got in spain they're talking about the groth being much weaker than the government's forecast. >> even though their service might have b
the handover of power in china will impact relations in the u.s. >> we're in london to talk about shipping trends. >>> plus what will obama do about the looming fiscal cliff? we'll have plenty of analysis from commentators. >> and we'll hear first from the cfo of aliance. but first day two data suggested growth is picking up and inflation is moderating meaning beijing may have more scope to ease if necessary. ppi industrial output and retail sales all came in better than forecast. eunice joins us from beijing. i'd hate to suggest this is quite good timing for this data. very convenient. >> what are you suggesting? a lot of people are saying that the numbers are showing the economy is bottoming out and a lot of people do use the numbers as a guideline at least. they're saying the investment figures were encouraging. looking relatively strong. the government hasn't put up of much money in the infrastructure projects, so that's part of the equation here. other part is retail and consumption side actually look pretty good. numbers came in at 14.5% growth and that beat expectations. a lot of th
>>> welcome to worldwide exchange. here are your headlines. the final set of numbers on the u.s. jobs market before the election are out in just a few hours forecasts calling for another month of modest but not stellar payroll growth. >> dow, nasdaq post strongest session since mid september. >> the rising cost of sandy, one major risk modeling firm now says the economic losses from the storm could reach $50 billion. >> and china steps insecurity ahead of next week's com you uhe nis party congress. even model airplanes have been grounded. if you're just joining us, very good morning to you. this is where we stand. we are at the moment dow 24 points below fair value. let's show you where we is an with you're feuropean stocks. cac down half a percent, ftse 100 down 0.2%. let's show you some individual stocks in focus. losses on friday hurt by a sector wide slump. equipment maker cutting back spending down as you can see merely 7%. rbs coming out with results this morning. this is the uk bank with a government owned majority and part nationalized lending reporting an increase in th
here. the u.s. allegatielections and redskins lost. >> we will mention the redskins indicator, but it's true whether the u.s., china, greece, eurozone itself would make for a big week, but combine them all together, in fact it's no wonder that markets are a little unnerved. >> coming up today, plenty to get through. we're at singapore where hundyui shares are down. >> and here in london, uk pmi data will be out. the question whether it will follow an upward trend. >> and china preparing for the once in a decade political handover. we'll take a lower look at the new leadership. >> when the redskins win or lose, it has predicted the top winner since 1980. there has been a notable expossession of 1984. >> although gore did win the popular vote but not the electoral college. >> in 2000. >> that's right. >> the all-important football -- i should say american football indicator here. it points towards a romney victory. >> besides all that, plenty corporate news. hsbcs has set aside an additional $800 million in the third quarter to deal with the u.s. anti-money laundering probe. that brings
, that trade officials see challenges ahead. most recently, over solar panels. the u.s. has approved steep trade tariffs, a move officials here say could backfire and cost american companies this market. >> translator: someone asked me are you in a trading war with the united states? i said no. i hope we can sit down and discuss and try our best not to get involved in trade war. but i must say when others tackle businesses, i have to protect our businesses. >> policymakers also attempted to ease concerns about a brewing debt crisis here. >> translator: the bad loans have been on the rise this year, mostly due to the difficulties in management of some industries. but the overall bank as a quality stable and the risk is under control. ratio almost the same as that at the beginning of the year, far lower of the world's major banks. >> regulators and bank executives said that chinese banks have spread the loans across several different sectors including steel and solar panels help to go mitigate the risk, however there is still widespread concerns that overcapacity in several of those industri
in the u.s. we'll head out to new york city later in the show for a preview of what to expect on wall street today. and more than 2,000 hand picked chinese delegates gathered at the great hall of the people to kick off the communist party week long transition. beijing will only officially reveal the next generation leaders thursday. hu jintao promised political and economic reform, but he stressed china won't abandon one party rule and will stick to the socialist path. eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you had already addressed is the issue of corruption. he said the government needed to do more to root it out. >> eunice, we're having tr
>>> these are your headlines. >> a tough start to a new month for equities as all through u.s. indexes snap a four month winning streak in the first day of trade after the market shut down. >> campaigning resumes as the northeast assesses the damage from super storm sandy. good and big earnings day for oil giants giants. shell sees a fall and exxonmobile due to report before the opening bell. >> growth recovery may be near. official october pmi bouncing back into expansion territory. >>> we're under way just one hour and an awful lot to to get to. >> new york city still struggling to right itself after monday's super storm. one stap he have the big apple will return, the mta will resume partial subway service on 14 lines. la guardia airport will also reopen at 7:00 a.m. with limited service. amtrak says it will try to restore service to penn station come friday. >> homes in bay ahead are seriously damaged or destroyed. president obama got a firsthand look with governor chris christie yesterday afternoon. >> and danielle lee joins us, she's in the town of toms river. and we kn
in the u.s. yesterday. take a look at the bond wall here of course we have an italian auction coming up later and italy's ten year, below 4.5% this morning. so price rising. that yield falling. spain also benefiting. that yield down to 5.2%. bunds creeping back up to 1.4% level. let's key in on currency. the aussie dollar despite the broader risk-on attitude a weaker. dollar-yen moving higher 82.13. and the nikkei is adding to its string of gains throughout the month. euro-dollar rebounding off yesterday's trading session to add 0.1%. let's check in on how the asia trading session went overnight and for more, deidre wong morris joins us from singapore. >> well, it was a very good session over here, as well. headline driven. but a good session on the back of that optimism for fiscal cliff talk. all except this glaring spot of red. shanghai composite finishing lower for yet another session. it keeps falling further and further. doesn't seem that there is anything that policymakers or investors can do to lift sentiment in this market. different story in the hang seng, rebounding up about 1
.1 million barrels a day. impact of hurricane sandy in the u.s., reduced, as well. crude oil supply dipped to a nine month low. so the demand being cut, patrick armstrong is where us, managing partner at investment managers. but that's clearly because of global weakness -- well, economic weakness in europe and hurricane impact. >> definitely. year over year, oil demand is up. we've had very weak economy in europe. not much growth in the united states. but i think that's the trend we'll be playing out for the next few years. >> oil 110 at the moment. is that a fair price? >> there's premium built in because of geopolitical risks. i think premium is probably justifiable. you look at wti at $23 discount to where breptd is. that's not sustainable in the long time, but given inventory levels, that will stay. >> do you keep your trade on oil? >> we have neutral position, but we're short the front month. respe respect. we make money by rolling the contracts the other way around. we're long oil in the 12 months forward rolling in to the 13th month and we end up with little more oil with that strat
advisers austan goolsbee on how the u.s. can avoid falling off the fiscal cliff. plus we'll take you live to tokyo with japan hit by election fever. the yen is falling as a repeated call for bold monetary easing. and we'll be live in new york 5:45 a.m. for a look at the u.s. retail sector. walmart and target getting set to release third quarter numbers. >>> chig that's ruling com uhe nus party has lifted the curtain. the unveiling seals so s xi jins rise. hu has seeded oig all powers and that's gives china's next leader a strong mandate. eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was looking very casual, looking a about folksy. when he was youtd lining t
the central bank says it has to do more to show it's serious about stimulating growth. and in the u.s., consumers filled up their shopping carts. early estimates show sales up 13% over the lost holiday weekend. >>> welcome to the start of a fresh trading week. kelly will be back tomorrow. catalonia voters have handed the majority to the separatists, but not necessarily the ones you thought. we'll assess the impact. and investors worry among protests over the egyptian president's attempt to increase his power base. and how much would it cost you to buy all items in the song 12 days of christmas? pnc wealth management will tell us why it's a lot more than you might think. plus shoppers hitting the net today, the year's biggest day for online purchases. we'll asset how much cash shoppers have left over after black friday's billion dollar be in an sa. bonanza. we have some confident data out of italy. november consumer confidence 84.8. that is a record low. we've had protests, as well. they're gathering in brussels to try to hammer out a deal on the greek deficit. prime minister says they
for you. right. >>> research in motion may be losing another big u.s. customer. the national transportation safety board may switch from blackberries to apple's iphone. they have failed at inopportune times and the iphone would better link to the ipad. last month, the immigration and customs bureau switched to the iphone. you can see that we do have that stock price up about 8%, though, in u.s. markets yet. >>> still to come, i talk retail spending, online trends and holiday shopping with phillip green. plus, a rather well-known famous pop singing shopper. >> quality and it's comfortable. there you go. >> what's better than that? can i help you? i heard you guys can ship ground for less than the ups store. that's right. i've learned the only way to get a holiday deal is to camp out. you know we've been open all night. is this a trick to get my spot? [ male announcer ] break from the holiday stress. save on groupping at fedex office. >>> after nearly 12 hours of talks, the ecb and imf officials failed in their request to agree conditions -- officials did agree to meet again ne
the changes could mean. >>> welcome back. take a look at the u.s. equity futures. dow and s&p coming off their worst week since july 4th. you can see they are indicated higher, but maybe not the bounce you might have expected. the dow up 23. >> squawk sports new, texans beating the bears 13-6. foster finished with 102 yards rush and touchdown catch and texans intercepted cutler twice before knocking him out with a concussion. >> no comment about the jets? >> they lost. >> andrew, here's the deal. >> did you see rex ryan -- >> the giants won the super bowl last year. a lot of people have told him he's fat and he should shut up. he's not fat anymore. she just shut up. but sanchez, you brush up against him and the ball goes flying out. >> they've been going back and forth. >> when the giants are the defending the super bowl champions and they got their butts kicked by the bengals and the other game unbelievable is johnny football. texas a and m and alabama, that was unbelievable. alabama number one. texas a and m just joined the sec. and this guy johnny football, you just can't believe the
thought to the findings of the congressional committee on the culpability of jon corzine, the former u.s. senator with respect to the mf global collapse. >> i think it is no surprise that corzine gets all the blame there from republicans. they want to embarrass a guy who's got democratic connections. he was to blame. he made these big bets. the more interesting thing to me is the extent to which it shows that the s.e.c. and the cftc were completely at odds with one another, not in sync, and makes the argument strongly for merging those two. it does make the case more strongly for merging those two agencies. >> thank you very much, ben. we'll talk more about that congressional report in our next half-hour. simon? >>> tyler, in 53 minutes, a major news conference begins in which we're expecting an announcement that bp, british petroleum, is agreeing flou to pay the u.s. government a record fine for the disastrous oil spill in the gulf of mexico. what was it? two years ago. bertha coombs has details. bertha. >> that's right, simon. they will admit guilt and pay the largest fine ever by a u.
. u.s. equity futures should be interesting to look at temperature basically on hold. not sure what to do after yesterday. we'll talk more about the economy in a minute with david rosenburg. it was pretty clear yesterday that depending on how you wanted to spin it, could you say how do you do for another four years. i don't remember any euro news in the last six months no matter how bad it was, we didn't get it free handle. so there's more to it than just europe. >> it was the fiscal cliff, but also the financials got hit so hard. if it had been romney, the cliff would be less of a deal because they would stepped all of them. so now we know and we lettered it first hand yesterday. boehner said we're open to tax increase, but part of a bigger plan that involves spending cuts. dove did a bungee -- >> worst thing i ever did. >> but it goes down and then right back up. >> the worst part is you feel like you're connected on something, but don't. it's a free fall until the very he said and then he start to feel like i'm connected to something and it throws being back into the air. >> my q
economists and business leaders say could send the u.s. economy back into recession. here we have an interesting divide between wall street and washington. wall street seems to believe and you can take a look at the numbers on how the market has acted over the past year. wall street seems to believe that we'll avert this cliff. washington seems to be willing to drive over the cliff. >> i think there's -- i don't want to pick on the tea party per se. you can say if obama would suddenly give in on taxes. what i worry about is there are people who are ideological in the country and more focused on other issues than taxation and money. those people i think are very much out of sync with other people as we discovered last night from the election. they could care less about the fiscal cliff. i think some people want to go over the cliff. >> howard dean last night, sam on "squawk" a couple weeks ago saying maybe it's the best medicine for us is to drive over this thing, go into a recession, provide some bed for growth in the second half of the year. it's a gamble. >> $5 trillion in cuts.
economics. back here in the u.s., reports from walmart and target. at 8:30, we get weekly jobless claims. october consumer price index. and the november empire state survey. in corporate news, bp expected to pay a record u.s. criminal penalty and plead guilty to criminal misconduct in the 2010 deepwater horizon disaster, a plea deal reached with the department of justice reportedly may be announced as soon as today. reuters says bp will plead guilty in exchange for a waiver of future prosecution on the charges. bp says it is in discussions, but no final agreement has been reached yet. >> fun to have you here today. we do hope mr. kernen get better very soon. he's not normally sick. >> he never calls out sick. so he must be really sick. >> i think there's a flu going around. >> convenient for all of us. i took chips out of his bag yesterday and now i'm -- >> who is the guy sitting in his seat? >> can we get some lie sole over here? >> let's get back to the topic dominating the conversation from wall street to washington right now. of course it is the looming fiscal cliff. we have made it
territory. >> the head of mcdonald's u.s. business is out and jeff stratton will assume that business starting january 1. capped off last month with the first decline in monthly sales in about nine years. we'll begin with a teale of two retailers. walmart, revenues coming in short of forecast. -- as for target, the company posted third quarter earnings well above estimates, says it's poised for a strong fourth quarter, but walmart has some issues here, jim. they're talking countries including but not limited to brazil, china and some others too. >> yeah, i was thinking it bick, not brick. russia has been left out of the equation, foreign corrupt investigation, not a great number here at all. the stock had become a very big institutional favorite. if you recall during the mexican investigation, when "new york times" piece it, the stock was trading between 57 and 58. they were then overridden by a couple of really good, solid quarters. this was not the quarter that anyone was looking for. >> except for those who sold the stock over the last couple of weeks. i mean that stock has started
there again? >> well, again, the u.s. stimulated the last crisis with our subprime crisis. the world was awash in debt. demographic trends were set to slow. now we have the same thing replaying with europe set to be the trigger this time with their sovereign debt crisis. we have even greater debt now in countries around the world. demographics is getting ready to slow more in the next few years. i think we're prime for a crisis. this time it's going to be europe that triggers it, not our fiscal cliff, not our fed. if we could take the whole world down, europe can take the whole world down. think of it this way. we've had two bubbles and we're in a third one. each bubble has taken us a little higher. each crash has taken us a little lower. 6,000 is simply the bottom trend line through those bottoms, including the 6440 in early 2009. it's a slight new low. it's not anything that should be unexpected given the trend. >> well, it's still, you know, half of where we are right now. it's only a two-year period. ron, take the other side of that. what do you think? >> i think it's a pretty easy other s
is that the u.s. bankruptcy judge said that the parties have agreed to a medation in the prevention of shutting down hostess. that will likely be monitored by the same judge tomorrow morning at 11 a.m. this is an attempt to avoid a shutdown, even though in today's hearing the hostess brand lawyer said it would be, quote, very hard to recover from this damage even if there were to be an agreement in the near term. still unclear what this actually means for hostess's ability to operate is a going certain but still a positive move and we'll stay tuned to what actually happens tomorrow. >> he's put off the table for now chapter 7 or chapter 11, is that my understanding? he's going to get them to do a deal even though bakers have rejected? >> that's right. an alternative to liquidation for today. he's giving them till tomorrow to say, if quu agree on some terms in the private, the brain trust will be in a room trying to hammer out a deal. if not, more options will be on the table. at least for the next 24 hours it looks like liquidation is off the table. but just for this very short term. also the q
ratings agencies going do, is there another downgrade of u.s. debt looming here and what would that do to financial markets. i want to sort of tell you a little bit about why you might be able to stop worrying and start to love these ratings agencies. the reason is the timeline of any downgrade that might come down the pike. starting with moody's. they're saying their rating on u.s. debt is likely to be maintained until the outlook of negotiations is clear. now fitch, they're likely to review their rating of u.s. debt in late 2013. late 2013. standard & poors poor's is saying it is a 1 in 3 chance of a downgrade over the coming two years. what do the ratings agencies want to see in order to avoid those kinds of downgrades? what they're saying is laid out specifically in their reports. moody's saying they want to see specific policies that produce a stabilization. they want a downward federal debt to gdp trend. fitch says they want an agreement on med yum term deficit reduction in 2013. standard and poor's is saying a medium term fiscal plan toward reducing general government debt. if y
jeff becker, ceo of ing u.s. investment management. ing is also the presenting sponsor at this weekend's new york city marathon. why don't we begin there. i realize that you run the investment management division, not all of ing in the americas, but you must have a perspective. a lot of new yorkers are very concerned -- some of them are angry -- that this marathon is going to go on as scheduled. did people from your company consult with the mayor, what did they say to him, to the extent you know, and do you support the decision? >> we do. the decision was taken by the mayor and the city of new york in consultation with the new york road runners. ing is the title sponsor. we support that decision. we're proud to be the title sponsor for the tenth year in a row. the marathon is a wonderful event for new york. it really represents the vitality and perseverance of new yorkers. it also has a tremendous economic benefit to the city of new york. the estimates are that annually, it gives annomi of $340 million to the city, and about $35 million to charities each year. >> it is a wonderful even
the same period. we associate obama with ruthlessness toward the banks. yet wells fargo, jp morgan, and u.s. bank corp are pretty much unchanged. and the credit card bank capital one thought to be the bane of the credit card bashing obama, actually up 8%. bank of america has collapsed from $47 to $9. a lot of them $57 to $17. mastercard 184 to 465. you have to draw a conclusion other than goldman and morgan have the wrong business models for the moment. and the big domestic banks have the right ones, except the poorly run, poorly executing bank of america, which can't benefit from the model because it's been so horribly hobbled by previous management's mistakes. >> the house of pain. >> that said, will goldman and morgan stanley do better under romney? is dodd/frank the liaison? or depending on trading and mergers and acquisitions as the peddling of big acquisitions is a thing of the past maybe they can come back. i still can't pin the tail on obama. too much disparity within the sector. obama care was supposed to take the profit margin out of the drug stocks, right? merck and pfizer are un
. blankfein writes "there is more than a trillion dollars of cash sitting on balance sheets of u.s. non-financial companies. certain will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels, contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." minimizing increases in marginal rates that could stifle risk taking and robust growth. he also stresses the importance of restoring confidence in public finance by implementing spending cuts and revenue increases. in the meantime, dallas fed president richard fisher tells cnbc that the central bank can't do much more to shelter the economy. >> we need to completely reboot tax policy and spending policy. if we have temporary fixes to the fiscal cliff, just push out the envelope of indecision until we have a sense of true direction, and it's time for our politicians to get their act together. >> fisher says he does not view the fed as a safety net. that is certainly a change of perception, one that congress is going to have to figure out pretty quickly along with the rest of washington. >> that it is. there's been a number of interviews
, this is fascinating. the fiscal cliff issue is a reason for many markets to move in the u.s. it's also big reason in europe and as it overlays several months going back to june with dow jones industrial average, you can see that our market was impacted more by the election but both charts are highly correlated and it's the fact that we are talking potential solutions to our fiscal cliff. melissa lee, back to you. >> thank you very much, rick santelli. just a note here, we're waiting for intel to begin trading again. a delayed open because of news that ceo will be retiring in may. we're awaiting that opening trade. 9:45 eastern time is our latest indication. meantime, will we see a massive correction even if there is a fiscal cliff deal? that's what david shulman is saying. find out why the senior economist is making such a bearish call. brewing job creation. what the folks at sam adams are doing to get food and beverage entrepreneurs a lift. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] introducing the new dell xps 12. part of a whole new line of tablets from dell. it's changing the conversation. ♪ well, havi
. the obama administration saying that china's currency remains significantly undervalued, but the u.s. treasury department is now stopping short of labeling the world's second biggest economy a currency manipulator. the white house is expected now to send the congress a multi-billion-dollar request on the recovery from superstorm sandy. the storm caused an estimated $71 billion in damages in new york and new jersey, and some congressional aides saying the request for funding would likely be at least $11 billion. the move comes as canada gets close to its decision on whether to approve the transaction. the energy companies say discussions with the committee are still in progress, and of course they had to file approval because they have extensive operations in the u.s. gulf of mexico. >>> "the wall street journal" reporting that virtue is emerging as the frontrunner to buy knight capital. they would possibly sell off parts of that business. finally, we can't get away from the story of twinkies. the bakers union of hostess brands wants a bankruptcy judge to appoint a chapter 11 trustee
for chapter 11. different news to digest. sales in the u.s., ford, gm, doing well. japanese automaker selling to china not doing so well. foreign automaker selling into china doing well at bmw. >> i think the suzuki thing mirrors what's happening at ford. >> i had an eye on one of their models. >> which one? >> the one with the four wheels. >> i have a harley in my garage. >> i'm not kidding. >> which garage is it by the way? do you even know? >> one of them is flooded. are you happy with that? >> is there a side car at leas.? >> i have tattoos all of the way up you just don't see them. suzuki blinking, ford, blinking, gm starting to blink. there's anti-globalization going on that we have to notice. some people say that i can't hack it in these markets. toyota was good. bmw was downbeat in terms of future. it wouldn't be something if everyone recognized what alcoa recognized. maybe it's too hard to be global. maybe it's too hard. go, suzuki was broken by the yen. it's hard to do business when you have these currency wars going on. >> how about kimberly getting out of diapers in europe? there'
time in nearly a decade and the u.s. underperforming. any doubt now that rivals are stealing share? >> retailers like macy's finally quantifying the effect of hurricane sandy. walmart kicking off black friday earlier than ever. we start this morning with the markets looking to bounce back from yesterday's selloff and nearly 1313 drop in the dow. europe on wall street's radar after the ecb and bank of england kept key rates unchanged. draghi holding a press conference right now saying he sees economic rekafr ri remaining weak and reforms are crucial to boosting growth potential on top of greece passing an unpopular package of austerity measures on wednesday and necessary for greece to receive another round of international financial aid. china's ruling communist party congress con vealing today in a leadership change. so much to digest overseas, jim. what came out of the ecb is expected. came out of greece seems to be largely expected. but spain still resisting. a bailout. that's trouble. >> i know. every day the crucial -- that's the crucial link. you have to give them the good loa
. china was down. they did have tremendously difficult comparisons. u.s. was also weaker. this was just not a good quarter. >> that's true. >> so ubs goes to neutral and trims estimates and cuts price target from 84 to 73. they say that deceleration is going into q-2. >> yum we're not that crazy about. chipotle. panera is a standout. this has been a terrific group. it lost its luster. entire quick serve contingent has become a place that people are worried about with the exception of highest value. panera. it's a decent stock. >> what's also surprising about what young came out with last month is they were talking about china. they weren't overly cautious about china. at the same time we've been getting better and better data points when it comes to china. economic data has been in fact turning. we haven't seen the stock market in china join and now we're not seeing it in yum. yum had once been the big multinational china play. if yum can't make it work, what other companies will we start to look at? will we look at nike or another multinational with a decent amount of growth from sales
that the u.s. doesn't go into a recession? >> well, first i want to say the metaphor fiscal cliff is probably the wrong one. you step off a cliff, that's your last step. for many politicians, the real metaphor is it's a slope. they gradually go into these tax increases and spending cuts. they feel they can turn around and walk back up the slope, retroactively reverse the changes. in that circumstance, in that scenario, it creates a lot of uncertainty for businesses and for taxpayers. what will our taxes be next year? how are we going to make some plans for our business or personal finances? it's that uncertainty that's going to, i think, have adverse effects for the economy. >> okay. that makes a lot of sense. michael jones, how do you want to invest here with all this? >> i think there are times when the market is really simple. don't fight the fed. you certainly don't want to fight the fed when they've got the ecb, the bank of japan, the people's bank of china, and virtually every other central bank on their side. you've had unprecedentedly aggressive monetary stimulus. we have open-ended c
's going on in defense. also, regardless of the fiscal cliff there's cuts. the u.s. government is the world's biggest buyer of software associated with the running of any kind of government. that's another kind of corollary here. a big comment from a lot of people in the defense industry about that yesterday. i think they're the first company to come out and make realistic expectations of what will happen in the next couple of years. back to you. >> okay. thank you. dave cote is the head of the curve on all of this. let's shift to bonds and dollar. rick santelli at the cme group in chicago. rick? >> thank you, jim. everyone is excited about good housing numbers. everybody but the fixed income market. everybody but the equity market. i know there's an hp issue here. however, let's look at the charts. let's put up a two-day chart of tens. clearly you can see we're up about a basis point on the day. if you look on the right side of the chart and look around 8:30 eastern, you can't pick out that we had a good housing number. if you really switch this around a bit, you look at the shorter mature
relatively modest in the u.s. and that's reflected in the jobs number. so this is an encouraging month but you never want to make too much out of any one month. >> i was surprised at the numbers. ed, what do you think? >> i think there are good things that each candidate can take out of it. obviously the fact that the unemployment rate ticked up is something that governor romney will emphasize, it's higher than when the president took office. that's the headline number. but i agree with austan, the fact you had 171,000 jobs this month and i would even add to that, it's not just this month, it's the trend for the past couple of months is higher, about 170,000 for the past couple of months. and that's a good sign. the one thing i would say is that while that's better than the average, the number of jobs created per month since the turnaround in early 2010 has been about 140,000 per month. this is a little bit better than that. the one disadvantage of it is that you need about 119,000 per month just to keep pace with population growth. what this means is that even with 170, you're adding
to fill their landfills up. >> we have 11 landfills in north america, two in canada, nine here in the u.s. a lot of that volume that we're getting into our landfills in the u.s. is from the oil and gas place, quite frankly. so our raeal focus to deal with drill cuttings, a lot of the drilling muds, processing waste on these drill sites. but we're also -- i would actively pursue remediation projects. large events or projects that are taking super-fund related clean up. that's a steady kind of business that we're working on. we continue to see that volume or business continue to be pretty steady and growing. >> as a staff at cnbc, we're really focused on the fiscal cliff. i know people are tired of hearing that term, but it's huge. is there super fund money that's cut dramatically because of this sequestrati sequestration? >> you know, the super fund hasn't really been reauthorized for years. the amount of money that's being spent directly by the government is really small. what we're working for are these prp groups, these responsible parties where they've collected moneys from people that
cuts that threaten to send the u.s. almost off a fiscal cliff. a sum met set for friday. i like the "new york times." democrats like a romney idea. >> did you see paul ryan's comment? >> no. but i got my button back on because i'm -- i'm going to tell that you rise above is kind of like a rorschach thing. because for me, rise above means democrats rising above the obsession with rates and realizing broadening the bates is better -- >> it means coming together. >> that is a way of coming together. you're raising revenue. your only way is if the republicans say yes -- >> no, that is not true. my way is anyway you come up with an agreement is a great way. you're only looking from one side of the aisle. >> but they'll never agree to raising rates about sfw. >> i will give you that it is a error sha rorschach test, but i want you to actually cut some things and i want you to deal with expenditures. >> you have the same house that said no to 39.6 on the high he said. but a way of raising revenue will spur growth -- they're coming around to the correct version right here. >> what about
. it is all about the u.s. this week. the tone for the most part has been negative this morning as you can judge from the red behind me. yes the uk pmi data came in weak, points to the country potentially in contraction territory despite the better gdp figures. some concern about greece. investors seem to be standing on the sidelines until a lot of these issues are resolved or at least there's more clarity. this follows reports over the weekend that some of the ways in which spanish banks borrow at cheap rates may not have been legal. the ecb says it's exploring the issue. one of the companies weighing on the foot city, hsbc which has said it is provisioning $1.5 billion against the laundering charges. group profit slightly disappointed investors. shares down 1.4% as a result the there. but that's really it in terms of the major corporate news. ubs going through a bit of a shake up. the bond wall expresses more of the mood we're seeing on the eve of the u.s. elections here. it's a rotation out of the periphery into the core. the gilts are benefiting. spain, italy seeing yields a little hig
's number two. third one of course is u.s. election. this is where some of the problems is. have you noticed german bonds today moving on the upside rather aggressively. u.s. bonds moving on the upside. that's all this stalemate concerns out here. that's all i heard this morning. that's all i heard over the weekend. the likely outcome is a stalemate no matter who wins on the fiscal cliff. obama will have to compromise. romney will have to compromise. what's the best hope for the industry and business right now? best hope is a last-minute deal to postpone tax cuts for yet another year, which could in fact go into the first quarter of negotiations. some of the people are more optimistic it will happen before that. some are not. that's why we get bonds moving to the upside right now. jim, i noticed that you mentioned the deal this morning with kbw. it's a symptom of what's going on in the friday overall. this was the big topic of the day. those who didn't hear, they are buying kbw for no premium. we're talking 6% premium. the stock was 16. offering 17 and change. that's no premium out there. th
not only surprises the street with a beat but says the u.s. enterprise business is showing signs of improvement. >>> and abercrombie silences the shorts. >> the president is scheduled to meet with a dozen ceos this afternoon to hear their concerns about looming tax increases and spending cuts. 73% of participants in a "wall street journal" ceo council conference said the fiscal cliff is their primary concern. goldman chairman and ceo lloyd blankfein talking about the importance of avoiding the fiscal cliff. he writes there's more than a trillion dollars of cash that is sitting on the balance sheets of u.s. nonfinancial companies with certainty about tax rates, companies will increase their capital expenditures currently at anemic levels contributing to a virtuous cycle of jobs and growth." if there was a disagreement as to whether this is becoming a mainstream story. story of "usa today," a giant cliff and inside a chart of how it will affect people. this is getting real. >> the editor of "usa today" is the single best print journalist going today. he understands what the pulse i
is saying the u.s. economy is strengthening. but he's cautioning that leaders must tackle the looming fiscal cliff. a conversation we can't get away from. speaking in missouri yesterday, bullard also says he doubts the central bank will extend a bond maturity extension program that expires at the end of the year. bullard is not currently a voting member, but he will ebb in 2013. and china's national congress continues with new leaders for the communist party set to be named later this morning. today a rising star said the party is moving towards requiring officials to their their assets. so an interesting piece in the chinese business press this morning. >> we have been talking about the fiscal cliff and -- >> we have? >> and yesterday somebody tweeted a new drinking game. every time they say fiscal cliff, you drink. they're right, but it's absolutely what matters. >> look at the stock market. did you see today what it's going to do? >> down again. >> it was down over 100 yesterday and it couldn't hold up. supposed to be up 70 when were watching yesterday morning. indicated down again. and i
signs of recovery in if the housing market. jim, 4.2 on global comps. 4.3 in the u.s. frank referring to what he calls a healing in the u.s. housing market. >> he's remarkable. he's correctly been negative when it was right to be negative. he's now positive. i was most concerned that this company would have a big dip right here because there's a lot of companies that are reporting that the last few weeks have been bad because of sappndy. didn't skip a beat. stock was down after a series of headlines that misinterpreted the charge. this one could be off to the races. >> what's interesting about home depot, they didn't outline sandy impact because it would be the pull forward in terms of sales in preparation for the hurricane but the books did close prior to sandy so full impact of sandy won't be felt. color expected on the conference call but that could be a key driver going into the last quarter of the year. metrics on the quarter were good. best ticket growth in four years in terms of ticket size. average ticket 54.50. up 2.9% year on year. even below the surface the numbers were rea
forces claiming to have targeted 100 gaza sites. the u.s. secretary of state hillary clinton is on her way to the middle east for talks with officials in a bid to try to end the deadly crisis. we've been watching oil prices, as well. and after sharp gains yesterday, you can see oil prices pulling back about 27 cents, still just about $89 for wti crude. we will have a live report from our nbc colleagues on the ground in the middle east coming up in the next half hour. >>> let's talk about some of the main market events of the morning. actually today fed chairman ben bernanke's speech at the economics sclub of new york is coming up at 12:15 eastern time. traders will be listening no any comments on the central bank's operation twist program and discussions about changing how the fed communicates about interest rates. operation twist expires next month. and there is some speculation the fed will continue making asset purchases by expanding the size of its $40 billion a month quantitate of it easing program. also on the economic agenda today, october housing starts released at 8:30 a.m. an
that the u.s. matters. but let me use this rally today to help you understand the world of expectations. not reality. not reality at all. but expectations. >> house of pleasure. >> and how do expectations matter so much more than what has already happened? we're in the midst of earnings season. the bulk of technology reports are already reported. the first was that the united states was holding its own. maybe getting a little better. power behind consumer spend. the fiscal cliff looming but still the positive. second is that europe's a disaster and the most important thing you can do is distance yourself from the continent. ask companies like alcoa and ford. the third, that china had become a big disappointment. yeah, china. and it wupt going to turn around any time soon. certainly not in time to help 2012. this came from a decline in orders. they all articulated as such on a recent conference call. companies that have been optimistic that china was about to turn, that the growth was about to kick in collectively seemed to give up all at once on the clos sus. nobody had been more upbeat
to pull back, u.s. rebuilds kuwait. you had to believe he would do something rational like that. did saddam think he could beat the united states in a war? many thought he was actually a rational human being who would reach the conclusion that couldn't happen. oops. fast forward 22 years. today we saw similar fears by the the current crop of short sellers. you could hear their thoughts like mine in 1990. what happens if they do something rational? s what if they start caring about all the people forced out of work immediately or have to pay far more in taxes? what happens if they actually rise above? those concerns caused people to cover their short positions betting that the consequences of going over the cliff were unthinkable, as what saddam would face if he had to go to war with the united states. of course it turns out there never was any deal back then and we had to go to war, we won and that was it. markets bottomed because the decline compensated for the war already unless we would have lost it. we didn't know the outcome or how long it would take at the time we knew whenever
us a lot about the state of the consumer and the u.s. economy today. so we're turning to one of the most seasoned and respected voices on wall street for help. we have dana telsey. she is our guest host for the next three hours. andrew, i'll send it over to you. >> we begin with a visit to toyland and here is toys r us. it opened its doors at 8:00 last night. and we have toys r us ceo joining us right now from the company's flagship store in times square. good morning. >> good morning. >> so i read a report you you had a big line. what's it been like all evening? >> it's been great. we did have a big line. we're at 44th and broadway.line went all the the way to 45th street and then down 45th all the way to 6th avenue. it was huge. people came in in a real celebratory mood. people ate ice cream, relaxed with their kids. i've never seen a black friday like this before, but 8:00 hour worked really well for families. >> let's talk about sales. how did it go overnight? >> we're just starting. this is 5:00 a.m. on black friday morning. we're really just starting. we have about a b.
to go follow the united states while it lobbies for a reconsideration of the u.s. stance. the delay could push back the start of basel iii by about six months. the law was mepts ant to be pha in by the start of 2013. >> archstone was not part of the zell asset, was it? >> i feel like zell was related to it. >> but he sold right at the top. so that was part of the problem. it wasn't just a total lack of due diligence. i mean, everything was valued hire when archstone was first sold, right? >> yes. but as i'm looking at this, no, sam zell i do not believe was involved. >> that was the equity office and -- >> and then blab stone. but blackstone even though they bought at the top figured out a way to then sell pieces of it very, very quickly. and they did very well. >> entrade is no longer accepting u.s. customers citing legal and regulatory pressures. that announcement coming hours after the u.s. commodities regulators sued the exchange's owner alleging that it allowed unauthorized trading by u.s. customers, u.s. customers must close their accounts and withdrawal all funds by the end o
bell, it was music to our ears and i loved it. i think it also began a drum beat for the u.s. economy as well. as tragic has sandy has been, the rebuild will include many on its back. jobs coming. "mad money" will be right back. >>> coming up, earnings alert. wall street's back online and cramer's got earnings season covered with an all-star lineup you can't afford to miss. industrial giant eaton fresh off its quarterly report. then, the ceo of apparel maker pvh soaring over 20% after news of a big acquisition. plus, the ceo of annie's. after falling from its highs, is it ready to run again? and tanger outlets ceo ahead of the holiday rush. this jam-packed edition of "mad money" is just ahead. [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus presents the cold truth. i have a cold... i took dayquil, but i still have a runny nose. [ male announcer ] truth is, dayquil doesn't work on runny noses. what? [ male announcer ] it doesn't have an antihistamine. really? [ male announcer ] really. alka-seltzer plus cold and cough fights your worst cold symptoms, plus has a fast acting antihistamine to reliev
performance in the quarter. >> what are you seeing in market demand globally? sales increased in the u.s. and abroad. are you seeing a stronger global story today? >> we are. about 2/3 of our business is in latin america. most of the latin american countries in the mid-single digits. we see better category growth in general. category growth in the u.s. is picking up, however. we saw about almost 1.5% to 2% category growth in the u.s. that's a big reversal from where it was two years ago where it was down 2%. we're starting to see the consumer stabilize in the u.s. we're certainly seeing better growth in latin america in particular. >> let me ask you about the implications of hurricane sandy. first off, these gas lines in new york. the story has been just horrible with people unable to get gasoline because these gas stations do not have power. has this impacted your business? >> it hasn't yet, maria. we have one major manufacturing facility in the path of the storm. that was in aberdeen, maryland. our folk there is had the plant shut down for about 24 hours from midday monday to midday tu
softer condition and background in europe politically. and i think improving conditions here in the u.s. for the consumer and for manufacturing and for gdp in general. our general background is pretty positive. >> great points there. sandy, what about you? you say regardless of who wins the election, the fiscal cliff would be either downsized or deferred. what does that mean? >> well, i think downsizing is more likely. have you to factor in the hurricane as well because that's going to be a half a percentage point decline as well, coupled with, you need to get that fiscal cliff down to 1% or maybe 0.5%. i think the downsizing has to be pretty substantial. they're either going to have to defer it to the new congress and either a new administration or the existing one, but they've got to get it downsized pretty substantially pretty quickly. and it's going to require, because of that gridlock we're going to have again, a bipartisan concurrence. that's going to be the test in 2013. >> chris, what do you think? how do you want to invest with $1.5 billion under management, how are you allocat
is not struck by the end. year, the u.s. economy would head back into recession, contract by half a percent in 2013. president is scheduled to make remarks on the cliff at 1 p.m. time. speaker boehner will address us. can the president say anything to make this whole week look like a dream? >> that's a tough one. what our lalt friend mark haines used to talk about, we need a capitulation, we need the answer, no, are you kidding? there was a congressman on "squawk" this morning say, yes, don't worry about it. when i hear that i say, no, it's not going to happen. we have to have them worry, as worried as we are. i still see this kind of grover norquist run republican party which would rather not have a tax increase and take the tit titanic down in the name of the country. >> viewers will say, wasn't wednesday a woosh? what qualifies a woosh at this point? in terms of the signs we've seen, isn't that qualified as a woosh. >> you open down and rally between 12 and 1. you get the 10 to 1 ratio. i'm just quoting mark haines. if you saw 20 to 1, you would say, you need to buy it. i need to see hai
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